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Safety Stock Formula (Standard SCM Approximation)
Safety stock is the extra inventory held above the reorder point as a buffer against demand and supply uncertainty. A widely used standard approximation in supply chain management is Safety Stock = Z-score ร Demand Std. Deviation ร โ(Average Lead Time). The Z-score corresponds to the target service level (probability of not stocking out): 90% โ 1.28, 95% โ 1.65, 97.5% โ 1.96, 99% โ 2.33. For example, at a 95% service level (Z=1.65), 7-day average lead time, and demand std. deviation of 20 units/day: Safety Stock = 1.65 ร 20 ร โ7 โ 1.65 ร 20 ร 2.646 โ 87.3, rounding to about 87 units.